Moderate Activity 🌒 14% Updated live 14 Oct 2026, 22:24 UTC

Aurora Australis Forecast for
Balaclava Tonight

Name: Aurora Australis Forecast for Balaclava Tonight | Southern Lights
Creator: Aurora Hunt
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Current Southern Lights (Aurora Australis) conditions for Balaclava, Otago, New Zealand. Latitude 45.9°S · AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 52.7°S.

Quick Summary: The estimated Southern Lights outlook for Balaclava peaks at 0% over the next 24 hours. No suitable viewing window.

Aurora forecast

0%

Estimated

Highest estimate · next 24 hours

Viewing window

No suitable viewing window

Pacific/Auckland

Kp index

3.67

Moderate

Planetary geomagnetic activity

Cloud cover

100%

Overcast

Current sky visibility

Tonight's Verdict

Low aurora probability in Balaclava tonight. Check back tomorrow for updated conditions.

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

23

23:00 — 0%

00:00 — 0%

01:00 — 0%

02:00 — 0%

03:00 — 0%

04:00 — 0%

05

05:00 — 0%

06:00 — 0%

07:00 — 0%

08:00 — 0%

09:00 — 0%

10:00 — 0%

11

11:00 — 0%

12:00 — 0%

13:00 — 0%

14:00 — 0%

15:00 — 0%

16:00 — 0%

17

17:00 — 0%

18:00 — 0%

19:00 — 0%

20:00 — 0%

21:00 — 0%

22:00 — 0%

23:00 UTC05:00 UTC11:00 UTC17:00 UTC22:00 UTC

Time (UTC)	Estimated (%)
2026-10-14T23:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T01:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T02:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T03:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T04:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T05:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T06:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T07:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T08:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T09:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T10:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T11:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T15:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T16:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T17:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T21:00:00.000Z	0%
2026-10-15T22:00:00.000Z	0%

How to read this forecast

The next 24 hours use calculated local darkness and a retained aurora activity heuristic. They are not a measured or statistically calibrated chance of seeing aurora. Aggregate cloud cover is held constant unless a timed weather forecast is available.

Generated 2026-10-14T22:24:12.601Z. Kp: fresh · observation 2026-10-14T21:00:00.000Z. Cloud: fresh · cache refresh 2026-10-14T20:15:44.797+00:00. Overall model: estimated.

Window: No suitable viewing window. A dash marks a missing input; zero means the model found no visibility under the supplied conditions.

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Oct 15

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About Aurora Viewing in Balaclava

Balaclava, New Zealand, is at 45.9°S. Southern Lights are also called Aurora Australis. Its verified magnetic latitude is 52.7°S; Kp 5–7 is an approximate screening range, not a visibility probability. Even favourable activity can be hidden by clouds or daylight. Find a dark, open southern horizon and check the sky before travelling.

Follow forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Balaclava in Aurora Hunt, then confirm darkness, local cloud and access before going outside.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see the Southern Lights in Balaclava?

Aurora Australis may be visible from Balaclava when geomagnetic activity is strong, the sky is dark and clear, and the southern horizon is open. A Kp value near 5–7 is a useful guide for this location, not a guarantee.

What is the best season for the Southern Lights in Balaclava?

The practical dark-sky season in Balaclava runs from March through September, with the longest nights usually from May through August. Aurora can occur year-round whenever geomagnetic activity and darkness overlap.

Where should I look for Aurora Australis near Balaclava?

Choose a dark site away from city lights with a wide, unobstructed view toward the southern horizon. Check cloud cover, moonlight and local access conditions before leaving.

What Kp index is needed in Balaclava?

The Kp needed varies with magnetic latitude and storm geometry. Around Balaclava, Kp 5–7 is a planning guide; the solar-wind direction, especially southward Bz, can change the actual result.

Do the equinoxes improve Southern Lights chances?

Geomagnetic activity can be more favorable around the March and September equinoxes, but there is no guaranteed equinox display. Darkness, clear skies and an active auroral oval must still coincide.

Aurora Australis Forecast for
Balaclava Tonight

Tonight's Verdict

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

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About Aurora Viewing in Balaclava

Related Aurora Guides

How to Read an Aurora Australis Forecast: The Southern Lights Guide

Where to See the Aurora Australis: Top Southern Locations

How to Read an Aurora Forecast: The Definitive Guide

Frequently Asked Questions

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