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Northern Lights Forecast in Estonia

Check Estonia’s northern sky from Tallinn to Saaremaa and Narva-Jõesuu. Compare local cloud, darkness and aurora activity before choosing an accessible place to watch.

Estonia: tonight's viewing check

Compare Estonia’s Local Northern Lights Conditions

Tallinn, Kuressaare and Narva-Jõesuu offer three Baltic settings with separate skies. Aurora is an occasional opportunity in Estonia. Compare the activity and cloud, then choose a dark local viewpoint rather than the most distant promising card.

Kp / G scale
Kp 2.0 · G0
Fresh
Observed 14 Oct, 12:00 UTC
IMF Bz
2.6 nT
Fresh
Northward · less favourable

Location-level decision bands

Compare the place you can actually reach

Northern HemisphereChecked 14 Oct, 16:05 UTC

Tallinn

Kp 5–7
Activity
Kp 2.0Below the local guideFresh
Local sky
100% cloudFresh
Darkness
Twilight — wait for a darker sky

Decision confidence: medium

How to read these numbers

AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 56.2°N

Medium — verified AACGM coordinate and fresh planetary Kp; the local band remains approximate

NOAA planetary K index · Fresh · observed 14 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Cloud · Fresh · cache refreshed 14 Oct, 14:00 UTC
MET Norway Locationforecast (cached by Aurora Hunt) ↗

Calculated solar altitude -6.6° · 14 Oct, 16:05 UTC

AACGM-v2 2.7.1 ↗ · epoch 2026-09-04 · 0 km

Check the live forecast for Tallinn

Kuressaare

Kp 5–7
Activity
Kp 2.0Below the local guideFresh
Local sky
99% cloudFresh
Darkness
Twilight — wait for a darker sky

Decision confidence: medium

How to read these numbers

AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 54.9°N

Medium — verified AACGM coordinate and fresh planetary Kp; the local band remains approximate

NOAA planetary K index · Fresh · observed 14 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Cloud · Fresh · cache refreshed 14 Oct, 14:00 UTC
MET Norway Locationforecast (cached by Aurora Hunt) ↗

Calculated solar altitude -5.4° · 14 Oct, 16:05 UTC

AACGM-v2 2.7.1 ↗ · epoch 2026-09-04 · 0 km

Check the live forecast for Kuressaare

Narva-Joesuu

Kp 5–7
Activity
Kp 2.0Below the local guideFresh
Local sky
97% cloudFresh
Darkness
Twilight — wait for a darker sky

Decision confidence: medium

How to read these numbers

AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 56.2°N

Medium — verified AACGM coordinate and fresh planetary Kp; the local band remains approximate

NOAA planetary K index · Fresh · observed 14 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Cloud · Fresh · cache refreshed 14 Oct, 14:00 UTC
MET Norway Locationforecast (cached by Aurora Hunt) ↗

Calculated solar altitude -8.3° · 14 Oct, 16:05 UTC

AACGM-v2 2.7.1 ↗ · epoch 2026-09-04 · 0 km

Check the live forecast for Narva-Joesuu

Kp bands are magnetic-latitude screening ranges, not probabilities. Cloud, darkness and your view of the horizon still decide whether you can see a display.

What this means for tonight

A useful geomagnetic signal does not make every Estonian coast clear. Use the local magnetic guide with darkness and your northern horizon; these cards are examples, not a nationwide visibility percentage.

Solar wind / IMF Bz · Fresh · observed 14 Oct, 15:59 UTC

NOAA OVATION is a regional activity model. Bz, light pollution, the auroral oval and safe access also matter.

Check the local sky

Baltic low cloud and fog can spoil an otherwise open sea view. Check the Estonian Weather Service for cloud, wind and visibility near your actual stop.

Where to look

Look north from a dark, open place. Around Tallinn, keep the city’s direct lights out of view; around Saaremaa and the northeast coast, check the local shoreline orientation.

Choose your next stop

Pick the county and location closest to you. Kuressaare represents Saaremaa, not a guarantee that every part of the island has an unobstructed northern coast.

Before you head out. Use accessible public viewpoints and stay off unsafe ice. Coastal darkness is not a reason to approach rough water or restricted shore areas.

Find your local forecast in Estonia

Viljandimaa

6 locations
View region Explore →

Harjumaa

25 locations
View region Explore →

Lääne-Virumaa

11 locations
View region Explore →

Pärnumaa

10 locations
View region Explore →

Tartu

6 locations
View region Explore →

Lääne

3 locations
View region Explore →

Ida-Virumaa

9 locations
View region Explore →

Järvamaa

5 locations
View region Explore →

Raplamaa

5 locations
View region Explore →

Jõgevamaa

3 locations
View region Explore →

Hiiumaa

1 locations
View region Explore →

Saare

2 locations
View region Explore →

Valgamaa

3 locations
View region Explore →

Põlvamaa

2 locations
View region Explore →

Võrumaa

2 locations
View region Explore →

27-Day Forecast

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Oct 15

Kp Index •••
Activity outlook •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 16

Kp Index •••
Activity outlook •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 17

Kp Index •••
Activity outlook •••
Cloud Cover •••

Aurora forecast questions and answers

Can I see northern lights in Estonia tonight?
It can be worth checking during suitable geomagnetic activity if the sky is dark and clear to the north. Use your local forecast before heading out. Aurora is not a routine feature of every Estonian clear night.
Which forecast should I use for Tallinn, Saaremaa or the northeast coast?
Tallinn, Kuressaare and Narva-Jõesuu provide separate reference points. Choose the one closest to your plans, then check the exact local view. The Kuressaare forecast does not mean the whole of Saaremaa shares one cloud cover or shoreline direction.
What makes an Estonian location useful for watching?
An open northern horizon, little direct light and a clear spell you can reach safely. A coastal place can offer a wide view, but sea fog or cloud may remove that advantage. Compare the weather before choosing between inland and shoreline spots.
Should I wait for the highest Kp number?
Use the local Kp guide rather than one national target. More activity can help, but waiting for a peak may mean missing a clear interval. Check the aurora map and the age of its inputs along with the sky above you.
How can I tell faint aurora from lights over the coast?
Look for changing structure and compare several photos with what you see by eye. Town or harbour lights reflecting off low cloud can produce a static glow. A dark northern view and time for your eyes to adapt make the comparison easier.
How can Aurora Hunt help me follow northern lights in Estonia?
Keep forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for the Estonian locations you care about together on your phone. Aurora Hunt helps you check a promising evening close to home or during an island trip. Download the app and follow your own viewing area. Download Aurora Hunt

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Track Aurora Conditions in Estonia

Track changes in northern lights activity for Estonia, then confirm local darkness, cloud and safe access before going outside.

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