Moderate Activity 🌒 2% Updated live

Aurora Forecast for
Manitoulin Island Tonight

Current northern lights conditions for Manitoulin Island, Ontario, Canada. Latitude 45.8°N · AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 54.4°N.

Quick Summary: The estimated northern lights outlook for Manitoulin Island peaks at 0% over the next 24 hours. No suitable viewing window.

Aurora forecast

0%

Estimated

Highest estimate · next 24 hours

Viewing window

No suitable viewing window

America/Toronto

Kp index

3.33

Moderate

Planetary geomagnetic activity

Cloud cover

100%

Overcast

Current sky visibility

Aurora

Tonight's Verdict

Low aurora probability in Manitoulin Island tonight. Check back tomorrow for updated conditions.

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

20
20:00 — 0%
21:00 — 0%
22:00 — 0%
23:00 — 0%
00:00 — 0%
01:00 — 0%
02
02:00 — 0%
03:00 — 0%
04:00 — 0%
05:00 — 0%
06:00 — 0%
07:00 — 0%
08
08:00 — 0%
09:00 — 0%
10:00 — 0%
11:00 — 0%
12:00 — 0%
13:00 — 0%
14
14:00 — 0%
15:00 — 0%
16:00 — 0%
17:00 — 0%
18:00 — 0%
19:00 — 0%
20:00 UTC02:00 UTC08:00 UTC14:00 UTC19:00 UTC
Time (UTC)Estimated (%)
2026-10-12T20:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-12T21:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-12T23:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T01:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T02:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T03:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T04:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T05:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T06:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T07:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T08:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T09:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T10:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T15:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z0%
How to read this forecast

The next 24 hours use calculated local darkness and a retained aurora activity heuristic. They are not a measured or statistically calibrated chance of seeing aurora. Aggregate cloud cover is held constant unless a timed weather forecast is available.

Generated 2026-10-12T19:45:45.348Z. Kp: fresh · observation 2026-10-12T18:00:00.000Z. Cloud: fresh · cache refresh 2026-10-12T19:35:54.4+00:00. Overall model: estimated.

Window: No suitable viewing window. A dash marks a missing input; zero means the model found no visibility under the supplied conditions.

27-Day Forecast

App Exclusive

Unlock 27-Day Forecast

Get extended forecasts, push alerts, and cloud cover maps for Manitoulin Island in the Aurora Hunt app.

Download on the App Store Get it on Google Play

Oct 13

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 14

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 15

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

About Aurora Viewing in Manitoulin Island

Manitoulin Island, Canada, is at 45.8°N. Aurora visibility depends on local conditions as well as geomagnetic activity. Its verified magnetic latitude is 54.4°N; Kp 5–7 is an approximate screening range, not a visibility probability. Even favourable activity can be hidden by clouds or daylight. Find a dark, open northern horizon and check the sky before travelling.

Follow forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Manitoulin Island in Aurora Hunt, then confirm darkness, local cloud and access before going outside.

Related Aurora Guides

🇨🇦

Northern Lights in Canada: Yellowknife & Banff Aurora Forecast

Compare Canada's main aurora chase modes: Yellowknife, Churchill, Yukon, Banff, Jasper and prairie storm routes by reliability, Kp threshold and weather risk.
📅

Best Time to See the Northern Lights in Canada

Choose the right Canada aurora month by chase mode: Yellowknife, Churchill, Yukon, Rockies, Quebec, Atlantic and southern storm markets.
🇨🇦

Northern Lights in Yellowknife: Aurora Capital Viewing Guide

Plan Yellowknife around the Ingraham Trail, aurora lodges, autumn reflections, deep-winter cold and a practical 3-night strategy.
View all educational guides

Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see aurora in Manitoulin Island tonight?
Aurora visibility in Manitoulin Island depends on geomagnetic activity (Kp index), cloud cover, and darkness. At 45.8°N latitude, Manitoulin Island typically needs a Kp index of 5–7 for visible aurora. Check the real-time forecast above for tonight's conditions.
What time is best to see northern lights in Manitoulin Island?
The best time to see aurora in Manitoulin Island is typically between 10 PM and 2 AM local time, when skies are darkest. Aurora can appear any time after astronomical twilight, but peak activity usually occurs around local midnight.
Where to watch aurora in Manitoulin Island?
For the best aurora viewing in Manitoulin Island, find a location away from city light pollution with a clear view to the north. Dark areas outside the city center, elevated viewpoints, and spots near water are ideal. Check cloud cover before heading out.
What Kp index is needed to see aurora in Manitoulin Island?
Manitoulin Island is at 45.8°N latitude and typically requires a Kp index of 5–7 for visible aurora. Higher Kp values mean stronger geomagnetic storms and better aurora visibility, even at lower latitudes.
Is Manitoulin Island, Canada a good place to see northern lights?
Manitoulin Island can see aurora during strong geomagnetic storms. Located at 45.8°N, aurora is visible when Kp index reaches 5–7 or higher.

Nearby Aurora Destinations

Little Current

46°N View →

Espanola

46.3°N View →

Tobermory

45.3°N View →

Blind River

46.2°N View →

Elliot Lake

46.4°N View →

Lively

46.4°N View →

Never Miss the Aurora in Manitoulin Island

Keep northern lights forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Manitoulin Island together in Aurora Hunt. Check the local sky before heading outside.

Download on the App Store Get it on Google Play
Data-backed forecasts Alerts in seconds Cosmic insights
Aurora Hunt

Unlock alerts for Manitoulin Island

We value your privacy

We use essential cookies and, with your consent, analytics cookies to improve Aurora Hunt. Learn more