Moderate Activity 🌒 12% Updated live

Aurora Forecast for
Lake Elmo Tonight

Current northern lights conditions for Lake Elmo, Minnesota, United States. Latitude 45°N · AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 53.9°N.

Quick Summary: The estimated northern lights outlook for Lake Elmo peaks at 0% over the next 24 hours. No suitable viewing window.

Aurora forecast

0%

Estimated

Highest estimate · next 24 hours

Viewing window

No suitable viewing window

America/Chicago

Kp index

3.33

Moderate

Planetary geomagnetic activity

Cloud cover

98%

Overcast

Current sky visibility

Aurora

Tonight's Verdict

Low aurora probability in Lake Elmo tonight. Check back tomorrow for updated conditions.

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

19
19:00 — 0%
20:00 — 0%
21:00 — 0%
22:00 — 0%
23:00 — 0%
00:00 — 0%
01
01:00 — 0%
02:00 — 0%
03:00 — 0%
04:00 — 0%
05:00 — 0%
06:00 — 0%
07
07:00 — 0%
08:00 — 0%
09:00 — 0%
10:00 — 0%
11:00 — 0%
12:00 — 0%
13
13:00 — 0%
14:00 — 0%
15:00 — 0%
16:00 — 0%
17:00 — 0%
18:00 — 0%
19:00 UTC01:00 UTC07:00 UTC13:00 UTC18:00 UTC
Time (UTC)Estimated (%)
2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T21:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T23:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T01:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T02:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T03:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T04:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T05:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T06:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T07:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T08:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T09:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T10:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T11:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T15:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T16:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T17:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z0%
How to read this forecast

The next 24 hours use calculated local darkness and a retained aurora activity heuristic. They are not a measured or statistically calibrated chance of seeing aurora. Aggregate cloud cover is held constant unless a timed weather forecast is available.

Generated 2026-10-14T18:28:40.489Z. Kp: fresh · observation 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z. Cloud: fresh · cache refresh 2026-10-14T18:00:36.7+00:00. Overall model: estimated.

Window: No suitable viewing window. A dash marks a missing input; zero means the model found no visibility under the supplied conditions.

27-Day Forecast

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Oct 15

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 16

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Probability •••
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Oct 17

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About Aurora Viewing in Lake Elmo

Lake Elmo, United States, is at 45°N. Aurora visibility depends on local conditions as well as geomagnetic activity. Its verified magnetic latitude is 53.9°N; Kp 5–7 is an approximate screening range, not a visibility probability. Even favourable activity can be hidden by clouds or daylight. Find a dark, open northern horizon and check the sky before travelling.

Follow forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Lake Elmo in Aurora Hunt, then confirm darkness, local cloud and access before going outside.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see aurora in Lake Elmo tonight?
Aurora visibility in Lake Elmo depends on geomagnetic activity (Kp index), cloud cover, and darkness. At 45.0°N latitude, Lake Elmo typically needs a Kp index of 5–7 for visible aurora. Check the real-time forecast above for tonight's conditions.
What time is best to see northern lights in Lake Elmo?
The best time to see aurora in Lake Elmo is typically between 10 PM and 2 AM local time, when skies are darkest. Aurora can appear any time after astronomical twilight, but peak activity usually occurs around local midnight.
Where to watch aurora in Lake Elmo?
For the best aurora viewing in Lake Elmo, find a location away from city light pollution with a clear view to the north. Dark areas outside the city center, elevated viewpoints, and spots near water are ideal. Check cloud cover before heading out.
What Kp index is needed to see aurora in Lake Elmo?
Lake Elmo is at 45.0°N latitude and typically requires a Kp index of 5–7 for visible aurora. Higher Kp values mean stronger geomagnetic storms and better aurora visibility, even at lower latitudes.
Is Lake Elmo, United States a good place to see northern lights?
Lake Elmo can see aurora during strong geomagnetic storms. Located at 45.0°N, aurora is visible when Kp index reaches 5–7 or higher.

Nearby Aurora Destinations

Oakdale

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Woodbury

44.9°N View →

Maplewood

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Never Miss the Aurora in Lake Elmo

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