Moderate Activity 🌒 13% Updated live

Aurora Forecast for
Gubkinskiy Tonight

Current northern lights conditions for Gubkinskiy, Yamalo-Nenets, Russia. Latitude 64.4°N · AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 61.3°N.

Quick Summary: The estimated northern lights outlook for Gubkinskiy peaks at 9% over the next 24 hours. Viewing window: 19:00–01:00 (Asia/Yekaterinburg).

Aurora forecast

9%

Estimated

Highest estimate · next 24 hours

Viewing window

19:00

– 01:00

Asia/Yekaterinburg

Kp index

3.33

Moderate

Planetary geomagnetic activity

Cloud cover

45%

Partly cloudy

Current sky visibility

Aurora

Tonight's Verdict

Low aurora probability in Gubkinskiy tonight. Check back tomorrow for updated conditions.

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

19:00–01:00 · Asia/Yekaterinburg
20
20:00 — 9%
21:00 — 9%
22:00 — 9%
23:00 — 9%
00:00 — 0%
01:00 — 0%
02
02:00 — 0%
03:00 — 0%
04:00 — 0%
05:00 — 0%
06:00 — 0%
07:00 — 0%
08
08:00 — 0%
09:00 — 0%
10:00 — 0%
11:00 — 0%
12:00 — 0%
13:00 — 0%
14
14:00 — 9%
15:00 — 9%
16:00 — 9%
17:00 — 9%
18:00 — 9%
19:00 — 9%
20:00 UTC02:00 UTC08:00 UTC14:00 UTC19:00 UTC
Time (UTC)Estimated (%)
2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-14T21:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-14T23:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T01:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T02:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T03:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T04:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T05:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T06:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T07:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T08:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T09:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T10:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T11:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T15:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T16:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T17:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z9%
2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z9%
How to read this forecast

The next 24 hours use calculated local darkness and a retained aurora activity heuristic. They are not a measured or statistically calibrated chance of seeing aurora. Aggregate cloud cover is held constant unless a timed weather forecast is available.

Generated 2026-10-14T19:26:51.602Z. Kp: fresh · observation 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z. Cloud: fresh · cache refresh 2026-10-14T17:35:48.196+00:00. Overall model: estimated.

Window: 19:00–01:00 (Asia/Yekaterinburg). A dash marks a missing input; zero means the model found no visibility under the supplied conditions.

27-Day Forecast

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Oct 15

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 16

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 17

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

About Aurora Viewing in Gubkinskiy

Gubkinskiy, Russia, is at 64.4°N. Aurora visibility depends on local conditions as well as geomagnetic activity. Its verified magnetic latitude is 61.3°N; Kp 3–5 is an approximate screening range, not a visibility probability. Even favourable activity can be hidden by clouds or daylight. Find a dark, open northern horizon and check the sky before travelling.

Follow forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Gubkinskiy in Aurora Hunt, then confirm darkness, local cloud and access before going outside.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see aurora in Gubkinskiy tonight?
Aurora visibility in Gubkinskiy depends on geomagnetic activity (Kp index), cloud cover, and darkness. At 64.4°N latitude, Gubkinskiy typically needs a Kp index of 3–5 for visible aurora. Check the real-time forecast above for tonight's conditions.
What time is best to see northern lights in Gubkinskiy?
The best time to see aurora in Gubkinskiy is typically between 10 PM and 2 AM local time, when skies are darkest. Aurora can appear any time after astronomical twilight, but peak activity usually occurs around local midnight.
Where to watch aurora in Gubkinskiy?
For the best aurora viewing in Gubkinskiy, find a location away from city light pollution with a clear view to the north. Dark areas outside the city center, elevated viewpoints, and spots near water are ideal. Check cloud cover before heading out.
What Kp index is needed to see aurora in Gubkinskiy?
Gubkinskiy is at 64.4°N latitude and typically requires a Kp index of 3–5 for visible aurora. Higher Kp values mean stronger geomagnetic storms and better aurora visibility, even at lower latitudes.
Is Gubkinskiy, Russia a good place to see northern lights?
Yes! Gubkinskiy is one of the best locations in the world for aurora viewing. Located at 64.4°N, it sits within the auroral zone where northern lights are frequently visible during active periods.

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