Moderate Activity 🌒 12% Updated live

Aurora Forecast for
Passage West Tonight

Current northern lights conditions for Passage West, Munster, Ireland. Latitude 51.9°N · AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude 48°N.

Quick Summary: The estimated northern lights outlook for Passage West peaks at 0% over the next 24 hours. No suitable viewing window.

Aurora forecast

0%

Estimated

Highest estimate · next 24 hours

Viewing window

No suitable viewing window

Europe/Dublin

Kp index

3.33

Moderate

Planetary geomagnetic activity

Cloud cover

98%

Overcast

Current sky visibility

Aurora

Tonight's Verdict

Low aurora probability in Passage West tonight. Check back tomorrow for updated conditions.

Hourly Forecast · Estimated

19
19:00 — 0%
20:00 — 0%
21:00 — 0%
22:00 — 0%
23:00 — 0%
00:00 — 0%
01
01:00 — 0%
02:00 — 0%
03:00 — 0%
04:00 — 0%
05:00 — 0%
06:00 — 0%
07
07:00 — 0%
08:00 — 0%
09:00 — 0%
10:00 — 0%
11:00 — 0%
12:00 — 0%
13
13:00 — 0%
14:00 — 0%
15:00 — 0%
16:00 — 0%
17:00 — 0%
18:00 — 0%
19:00 UTC01:00 UTC07:00 UTC13:00 UTC18:00 UTC
Time (UTC)Estimated (%)
2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T21:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-14T23:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T01:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T02:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T03:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T04:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T05:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T06:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T07:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T08:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T09:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T10:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T11:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T15:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T16:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T17:00:00.000Z0%
2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z0%
How to read this forecast

The next 24 hours use calculated local darkness and a retained aurora activity heuristic. They are not a measured or statistically calibrated chance of seeing aurora. Aggregate cloud cover is held constant unless a timed weather forecast is available.

Generated 2026-10-14T18:16:36.963Z. Kp: fresh · observation 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z. Cloud: fresh · cache refresh 2026-10-14T17:10:58.412+00:00. Overall model: estimated.

Window: No suitable viewing window. A dash marks a missing input; zero means the model found no visibility under the supplied conditions.

27-Day Forecast

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Oct 15

Kp Index •••
Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 16

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Probability •••
Cloud Cover •••

Oct 17

Kp Index •••
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Cloud Cover •••

About Aurora Viewing in Passage West

Passage West, Ireland, is at 51.9°N. Aurora visibility depends on local conditions as well as geomagnetic activity. Its verified magnetic latitude is 48°N; Kp 7–9 is an approximate screening range, not a visibility probability. Sightings at this latitude are unusual and should not be expected on a typical night. Find a dark, open northern horizon and check the sky before travelling.

Follow forecasts, cloud maps and aurora alerts for Passage West in Aurora Hunt, then confirm darkness, local cloud and access before going outside.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see aurora in Passage West tonight?
Aurora visibility in Passage West depends on geomagnetic activity (Kp index), cloud cover, and darkness. At 51.9°N latitude, Passage West typically needs a Kp index of 7–9 for visible aurora. Check the real-time forecast above for tonight's conditions.
What time is best to see northern lights in Passage West?
The best time to see aurora in Passage West is typically between 10 PM and 2 AM local time, when skies are darkest. Aurora can appear any time after astronomical twilight, but peak activity usually occurs around local midnight.
Where to watch aurora in Passage West?
For the best aurora viewing in Passage West, find a location away from city light pollution with a clear view to the north. Dark areas outside the city center, elevated viewpoints, and spots near water are ideal. Check cloud cover before heading out.
What Kp index is needed to see aurora in Passage West?
Passage West is at 51.9°N latitude and typically requires a Kp index of 7–9 for visible aurora. Higher Kp values mean stronger geomagnetic storms and better aurora visibility, even at lower latitudes.
Is Passage West, Ireland a good place to see northern lights?
Passage West can see aurora during strong geomagnetic storms. Located at 51.9°N, aurora is visible when Kp index reaches 7–9 or higher.

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